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Forecasts Quotes

Predicting what nobody knows.

Forecasts promise certainty but rarely deliver it, a tension these quotes handle with real wit. The theme pairs naturally with Ability quotes.

I believe that economists put decimal points in their forecasts to show they have a sense of humor.

Quotes by William Gilmore Simms

We might be more inclined to think about the longer term if we were more aware of what is happening around us. Perhaps daily weather forecasts could include a few basic facts about the Earth's vital signs or details of...

Quotes by Prince Charles

Hold on to your dream. Don't let past failures or dire economic forecasts make you a pessimist. Keep your youthful dreams alive and create your own opportunities.

Quotes by Paul Zane Pilzer

The Treasury has enough trouble with forecasts even when they are trying to get them right.

Quotes by Nigel Lawson

Ability Quotes

For physical goods, there are costs associated with logistics and lead times, owing to inventories and poor forecasts of the market. With digital capital-intensive technology, however, production will inevitably move toward the final market, wherever it is. This re-localization constitutes...

Quotes by Michael Spence

During the early 1960s, I decided to supplement research support for quantitative economic studies at Pennsylvania by selling econometric forecasts to private and public sector buyers.

Quotes by Lawrence R. Klein

All economic forecasts are subject to considerable uncertainty. There is always a wide range of plausible outcomes for important economic variables, including the federal funds rate.

Quotes by Jerome Powell

The affairs of this world are so shifting and depend on so many accidents, that it is hard to form any judgment concerning the future; nay, we see from experience that the forecasts even of the wise almost always turn...

Quotes by Francesco Guicciardini

Even as our unwitting alterations to Earth's carbon and hydrological cycles slowly make storms more damaging, our ability to monitor our planet from space and make reliable short-term forecasts have equipped us enormously to withstand them.

Quotes by David Grinspoon

Alive Quotes

A potentially useful property of forecasts based on cointegration is that when extended some way ahead, the forecasts of the two series will form a constant ratio, as is expected by some asymptotic economic theory.

Quotes by Clive Granger

Forecasts vary in horizon, from a few seconds up to a few days in financial markets, compared to from one to several months for macro variables. We have to provide uncertainty intervals around the central forecasts to indicate the extent...

Quotes by Clive Granger

Of course, economic forecasts must be revised when new information arrives and are thus necessarily provisional.

Quotes by Ben Bernanke

Frequently Asked Questions

What do these forecasts quotes say about economic prediction?
They highlight how uncertain forecasting really is, joking that economists add decimal points mainly to show a sense of humor rather than actual precision.
Is the Treasury mentioned specifically in relation to forecasts?
Yes, one quote notes the Treasury struggles with forecasts even when genuinely trying to get them right, pointing to the difficulty of the task itself.
How does digital technology affect forecasting according to this set?
One quote explains that physical goods carry logistics costs tied to poor market forecasts, while digital, capital-intensive production faces different constraints.
Do these quotes acknowledge a range of possible outcomes?
Yes, one states plainly that economic forecasts are subject to considerable uncertainty, including a wide range of plausible outcomes for variables like the federal funds rate.
What other topics connect to planning under uncertainty?
See Ability quotes and Believe quotes for related perspectives.

From the Treasury's track record to digital production trends, every forecast carries its own caveat. Browse Believe quotes and Alive quotes next.